Three before you leave — What to watch for Tuesday including the start of earnings season
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Here are the most important things to know about Tuesday before you hit the door.
1. Bank earnings on deck
We’ll get quarterly earnings from the four largest U.S. banks with Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo all reporting before the bell on Tuesday. Wall Street is expecting S&P 500 financial company earnings to drop 2.6% this quarter, according to FactSet, weighed down by the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates twice since July, which pressures bank’s main business of deposits and lending.
Some analysts are anticipating disappointing results could come from this year’s over-valued unicorns including Uber’s anticlimactic market debut and pre-IPO bust of WeWork’s valuation. Goldman may take a $264 million write down on its 1.4% stake in WeWork, said Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck.
2. Overall earnings season kick off
The unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season kicks off on Tuesday. Earnings for the S&P 500 are expected to decline by 4.6% this quarter, after growing by more than 3% in the second quarter, according to FactSet.
“Analysts expected declines for the past two quarters that failed to materialize, but the further slowdown in macro data could lead to the first EPS decline since the 2015-16 EPS recession,” said Bank of America equity and quant strategist Savita Subramanian said in a note to clients earlier this month.
Along with the major banks, Dow Jones Industrial Average members Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth are set to report on Tuesday as well.
3. Manufacturing slump continues?
We’ll get a read on the health of the manufacturing sector with the Empire State Manufacturing survey set to release at 8:30 a.m. on Tuesday. Economists are expecting October’s Empire State Index, which measures activity in the New York area, to come in at 0.8, according to Dow Jones, down from September’s reading of 2.
Earlier this month, September’s ISM U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers’ index showed its worst reading in a decade, as exports dived amid the escalated trade war. The index showed the manufacturing sector in contraction.
Major events (all times ET):
4:25 a.m. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speaks
8:30 a.m. Empire State manufacturing
9 a.m. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks
3:30 p.m. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks